Estudo da viabilidade de migração para o mercado livre de energia: caso do IFPE campus Garanhuns

Abstract

With the liberalization of the energy market in Brazil, the Free Energy Market (ACL) has become a viable alternative for various consumer units connected to high voltage. However, migrating from the regulated to the free market requires a thorough technical and financial analysis. In this context, this study evaluates the feasibility of the Federal Institute of Pernambuco (IFPE) Garanhuns campus transitioning to the free energy market. Consumption data for 12 months of billing and current tariffs were collected, and simulations were conducted for the next four years. The analysis covered a migration scenario over four years, from 2025 to 2028. The breakeven point method was used to determine the equilibrium tariff price, alongside tools such as Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR). The results indicated that the ACL offers potential for cost savings and greater contractual flexibility. However, to leverage these advantages, efficient contract management is essential to address challenges such as market volatility. Finally, it was concluded that migration to the ACL is advantageous, provided there is effective risk management and proper financial planning. This study positively contributes to other consumer units considering transitioning to the free energy market in Brazil.